napalmmk9 (![[info]](http://p-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} napalmmk9) wrote,@ 2008-02-14 20:15:00 |
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[Survivor]Hey, neat!
"Excuse me. I'm about to utter one of the nerdiest sentences I've uttered in a very long time."
"What is it?"
"I just watched a really good episode of Survivor and now I've got to go blog about it."
"I believe you are correct, sir."
SO! Fans? People who do the math? Rock. You've got Mikey B, who does the risk-management that the game is all about. You've got Joel, who knows a guy who's thinking out loud about risk-management is probably dangerous, and that couples should always be broken. And you've got... everyone else. I've really excited to see how this works on their side. They've studied, and the favorites have just played.
"If a man hasna studied, he is a gleepa[??]. Which I have."
All the same, two things stuck out at me.
One: In the early game you vote out weak players regardless of who's being all smart so you don't go to tribal more often than you have to. Prepare for the numbers game from the moment you set foot on the island, you must have more players at the merge so you can Pagong the hell out of the other tribe when the time comes. Mary? Not so weak. Who was weak? Chet. He can barely swim. He did the fucking backstroke back to the beach, which is the slowest stroke you can use. On a game on an island, you'll be swimming a lot.
Two: Joel, who had the plan to vote out Mary and blindside Mikey B, actually cast his vote for Tracey?!?!? WTF, over? Joel is also a repugnant dickhead personally, as far as I can tell, but he seems to be playing a smart game so far. He will lose the social game.
If I had to make a prediction, I would say none of the following will make the win, and it is unlikely that they'll make it to the merge: Joel, Mikey B, Kathy, Chet, and Tracey. Without Mary, that leaves them at Alexis, Eric, Jason, and Natalie. Which among them is smart enough to recognize smart playing, pick it up, and be fucking subtle about it?
As for the favorites, they're being idiots. Which would you rather have, sex, or a million dollars? At least four of the favorites are making the wrong choice. Sigh. They will eat well, and they may do well at challenges on the strength of Ozzy and Yau-Man. But dear lord, do I want to see Parvati go. Sexist alert: if she wouldn't speak, it would be a lot better. Watching her and hearing her sleaze up to James is like nails on a chalkboard.
"Excuse me. I'm about to utter one of the nerdiest sentences I've uttered in a very long time."
"What is it?"
"I just watched a really good episode of Survivor and now I've got to go blog about it."
"I believe you are correct, sir."
SO! Fans? People who do the math? Rock. You've got Mikey B, who does the risk-management that the game is all about. You've got Joel, who knows a guy who's thinking out loud about risk-management is probably dangerous, and that couples should always be broken. And you've got... everyone else. I've really excited to see how this works on their side. They've studied, and the favorites have just played.
"If a man hasna studied, he is a gleepa[??]. Which I have."
All the same, two things stuck out at me.
One: In the early game you vote out weak players regardless of who's being all smart so you don't go to tribal more often than you have to. Prepare for the numbers game from the moment you set foot on the island, you must have more players at the merge so you can Pagong the hell out of the other tribe when the time comes. Mary? Not so weak. Who was weak? Chet. He can barely swim. He did the fucking backstroke back to the beach, which is the slowest stroke you can use. On a game on an island, you'll be swimming a lot.
Two: Joel, who had the plan to vote out Mary and blindside Mikey B, actually cast his vote for Tracey?!?!? WTF, over? Joel is also a repugnant dickhead personally, as far as I can tell, but he seems to be playing a smart game so far. He will lose the social game.
If I had to make a prediction, I would say none of the following will make the win, and it is unlikely that they'll make it to the merge: Joel, Mikey B, Kathy, Chet, and Tracey. Without Mary, that leaves them at Alexis, Eric, Jason, and Natalie. Which among them is smart enough to recognize smart playing, pick it up, and be fucking subtle about it?
As for the favorites, they're being idiots. Which would you rather have, sex, or a million dollars? At least four of the favorites are making the wrong choice. Sigh. They will eat well, and they may do well at challenges on the strength of Ozzy and Yau-Man. But dear lord, do I want to see Parvati go. Sexist alert: if she wouldn't speak, it would be a lot better. Watching her and hearing her sleaze up to James is like nails on a chalkboard.
